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Demand-Pull vs. Cost-Push Inflation
1. Introduction
π Inflation refers to a general rise in price levels over time. Two major types of inflation are:
β Demand-Pull Inflation: Caused by excessive demand for goods and services.
β Cost-Push Inflation: Caused by rising production costs.
π Why is it important?
β Helps policymakers design effective anti-inflation policies.
β Identifies whether inflation is due to high demand (good for growth) or supply shocks (bad for growth).
2. Demand-Pull Inflation
πΉ Definition:
π Demand-pull inflation occurs when aggregate demand (AD) rises faster than aggregate supply (AS), leading to higher prices.
πΉ Causes:
β 1. Expansionary Fiscal Policy β Government spending increases (e.g., stimulus checks, infrastructure projects).
β 2. Expansionary Monetary Policy β Low interest rates encourage borrowing and spending.
β 3. Higher Consumer Confidence β People spend more if they expect future income growth.
β 4. Wage Increases β Higher wages increase consumer spending and demand.
β 5. Strong Export Demand β A trade surplus increases domestic demand.
πΉ Graphical Representation:
- In the AD-AS model, an increase in AD shifts the AD curve to the right, increasing GDP and price levels.
πΉ Examples:
β Post-WWII U.S. Economic Boom β High demand led to inflation as production struggled to keep up.
β COVID-19 Stimulus Packages (2020β2021) β Excess liquidity increased demand, leading to inflation.
3. Cost-Push Inflation
πΉ Definition:
π Cost-push inflation occurs when rising production costs (wages, raw materials) force businesses to increase prices.
πΉ Causes:
β 1. Rising Wages β Higher labor costs passed onto consumers.
β 2. Supply Chain Disruptions β Shortages (e.g., semiconductor chips) reduce supply.
β 3. Raw Material Price Increases β Higher oil, gas, or commodity prices raise costs.
β 4. Currency Depreciation β Increases the cost of imported goods.
β 5. Natural Disasters or Geopolitical Shocks β Wars, pandemics, or disasters limit supply.
πΉ Graphical Representation:
- In the AD-AS model, an increase in costs shifts the AS curve to the left, reducing GDP and increasing price levels.
πΉ Examples:
β 1970s Oil Crisis β Oil price shocks caused massive cost-push inflation.
β 2021 Global Supply Chain Crisis β Shortages of goods raised production costs.
4. Key Differences Between Demand-Pull and Cost-Push Inflation
| Feature | Demand-Pull Inflation | Cost-Push Inflation |
|---|---|---|
| Cause | Excess demand | Rising production costs |
| Effect on GDP | Increases GDP (short-run) | Reduces GDP |
| AS-AD Model Shift | AD curve shifts right | AS curve shifts left |
| Examples | Post-WWII boom, stimulus spending | Oil crisis, supply shortages |
| Policy Response | Increase interest rates, reduce spending | Control supply shocks, subsidies |
5. Policy Measures to Control Inflation
πΉ 1. Controlling Demand-Pull Inflation
β Increase interest rates (tight monetary policy).
β Reduce government spending (tight fiscal policy).
β Increase taxes to limit disposable income.
πΉ 2. Controlling Cost-Push Inflation
β Increase supply-side efficiency (improve production capacity).
β Control wage growth (limit excessive wage hikes).
β Subsidize essential goods (to reduce production costs).
6. Conclusion
β Demand-pull inflation is caused by high demand, while cost-push inflation is due to rising costs.
β Demand-pull inflation can be controlled by tight fiscal and monetary policies.
β Cost-push inflation requires supply-side measures to lower production costs.
β Policymakers must identify the correct inflation type before implementing solutions.
